My Take On Powerline's Take On Hugh's Take On Bennet's Take On ... The Apocalypse

This is just beautiful:

Several readers have pointed out James Bennet's article in today's New York Times on "The Mystery of the Insurgency." We'll turn the floor over to Dafydd ab Hugh for an extended analysis of why Bennet's myopic approach, which is typical of most mainstream commentary on the "insurgency," is so wrong-headed:

Probably harder to figure out than Freud's plaintive cry. At least, the New York Times is completely befuddled in "the Mystery of the Insurgency."

The insurgents in Iraq are showing little interest in winning hearts and minds among the majority of Iraqis, in building international legitimacy, or in articulating a governing program or even a unified ideology or cause beyond expelling the Americans. They have put forward no single charismatic leader, developed no alternative government or political wing, displayed no intention of amassing territory to govern now.

Rather than employing the classic rebel tactic of provoking the foreign forces to use clumsy and excessive force and kill civilians, they are cutting out the middleman and killing civilians indiscriminately themselves, in addition to more predictable targets like officials of the new government. Bombings have escalated in the last two weeks, and on Thursday a bomb went off in heavy traffic in Baghdad, killing 21 people.

This surge in the killing of civilians reflects how mysterious the long-term strategy remains - and how the rebels' seeming indifference to the past patterns of insurgency is not necessarily good news for anyone.

The Times should have given me a call; I know exactly what the "insurgents" want... and the Times's befuddlement is to a large extent because of how they frame the question -- the mystery of the insurgency.

The Times assumes that the killers in Iraq are, in fact, "insurgents." But insurgents have a political plan; no matter how brutal they may be, they see their violence as leading to a political change -- the government will be cast out to be replaced by a new government, typically themselves. Thus, they tend to create shadow directorates that mimic the functions of a government; they have spokespeople who explain their political goals; they try to seize territory to prove they can run it better than the current regime, solving for the people there whatever burning issue is driving the insurgency (land distribution, famine, whatever).

But this is to assume what the Times purportedly wants to discover. If you begin by assuming the killers are "insurgents," then you have limited your conclusions to some Vietnam-style political revolution. Put another way, if you start by assuming that they are insurgents -- then you must wind up concluding that they are insurgents.

But if you look with a more open mind, the closest-fit historical model is not that of the followers of Uncle Ho in Vietnam from the 50s through the mid-70s, or the Algerian insurgency against the French in the 1950s, or the attempts at independence by the Kosovars against the Serbs in the late 90s.

Rather, the best historical precedents are the Aztecs, who turned mere human sacrifice into an art form by killing more and more and more people until they literally may have slaughtered an end to their own empire. Their intent was not to achieve some political goal; they already ruled. Rather, they developed the theological notion that the more people they butchered, the more pleased their bloody gods would be.

With that gloss, the Iraq "insurgency" comes suddenly into crystal-clear focus, like the beginning of the TV show the Outer Limits: the killers in Iraq have no political goal. That is not the point.

The point is to kill. They have invented a whole new kind of murder... they are serial spree killers.

The distinction between a serial killer and a spree killer is that the first kills methodically over time, trying to evade capture so he can continue his murderous pastime; while the second has one violent incident in which he kills a bunch of people, then often kills himself or expects to be slain by the police. What we see today in Iraq is a combination of the two: terror bosses who methodically, over time, set up mass killing events, usually carried out by others who will die in the attempt, but sometimes remotely by themselves (sending a chained driver cruising the streets, then detonating the driver's car when he nears a target of opportunity).

But like serial and spree killers, like those who commit human sacrifice, the motivation is found not in the external world but in his own internal hell, in the voice that only he can hear, from his bloody, eldritch gods, who demand blood and souls, blood and souls in the name of Moloch, or Arioch, or Cthulhu, or Huitzilopochtli, who demand mass sacrifices in the Grand Pyramid (or the Great Mosque -- and it is significant that one of the favorite targets for the killers are mosques full of worshippers, as if they saw their red-dripping thunderclap as an explosive "amen" to the service).

This has significance in strategy. If this were a political insurgency, we would expect it to respond to changes in the political weather, even disbanding when it becomes clear that they have failed to win the hearts and minds of the people. But if the point is a holocaust of human sacrifice -- if instead of winning the people's hearts, they want to cut them out and display them to the cheering crowd, not particularly caring who the victims may be -- then they are like the Terminators of the Arnold Schwarzenegger movie: they cannot be bargained with, or reasoned with; they will show no pity or remorse; and they absolutely will not stop until all in Iraq are dead... or until they are destroyed themselves, every last one of them.

Widen your mind. Let's not try to shoehorn every "mysterious" event into the gloss of twentieth-century liberal ideas about political revolution and leftist insurgency. In Iraq, we are not fighting Ho Chi Minh; we are fighting modern-day Aztec priests who want to kill their victims for no reason other than to cut their hearts out and offer their bleeding, still beating hearts to Huitzilopochtli... so let us set our strategy accordingly.

I think we have, actually.

Serial spree killers? Just a new term for out and out nihilism of course.

So what's my take? Zarqawi and the Islamists are all nuttier than Cuckoo Clocks of course. This is what they see ...



or attempt to create ...



every day. And in the few hours they get to sleep now between the Abrams rumbles and F-18 screetches on their tails, this is what they dream of doing to their "enemies"...



Just like their mentor Hitler. (See the tenth paragraph through the end of the "THEORY VERSUS HISTORY" section.)

And the libs and Eurabians see no problem placing a "red button" in front of these people...



I'm sorry, but this is the ultimate case of projection. The libs accuse right-wing Christians of having wet dreams about Revelations.

But they are doing everything in their power to enable the real nuts of Revelations with the technologies to make it happen. In short, they think it makes perfect sense to put a "red button" in front of complete wackos. (What else if not projection?)

This is not to say that the West is without fault in this hellish mess. In a "nutshell", our thirst for oil caused us to recklessly violate the Prime Directive:

As the right of each sentient species to live in accordance with its normal cultural evolution is considered sacred, no Star Fleet personnel may interfere with the healthy development of alien life and culture. Such interference includes the introduction of superior knowledge, strength, or technology to a world whose society is incapable of handling such advantages wisely. Star Fleet personnel may not violate this Prime Directive, even to save their lives and/or their ship unless they are acting to right an earlier violation or an accidental contamination of said culture. This directive takes precedence over any and all other considerations, and carries with it the highest moral obligation.

We are now in a race to right our earlier violations in the only way open to us. We must try to "kickstart" them into the 21st Century while trying to reimpose some level of quarantine on the worst recalcitrants that -- we pray only temporarily -- remain.

Is this risky? Of course. But wild screetches about the beauty of the alternatives are just that. How I wish it weren't so.

It's a race between sanity and technology. And as is well evidenced above, sanity is in a fight for its life.

I would argue with ease that the hell on earth touched on in this post -- and the hellish future that can be easily extrapolated from it -- make Revelations look like child's play.

No?

But at least there are some budding signs that the kickstart may work ...



We can only pray we are not too late...

"If the Qur'an don't fit, you must acquit!"

A Berg In The MSMemory Hole

In many ways:

Some things are unforgivable. What Abu Musab al-Zarqawi and his many accomplices did to my brother Nick is unforgivable. It was not an act of war; it was a cold-blooded, premeditated heinous crime. To call it anything else suggests that it is an acceptable act of war, an acceptable response to America’s military action. It is not.

The world would be a better place if al-Zarqawi was no longer in it. He is pure evil. I don’t think someone like him is capable of any human feeling anymore. The only way to keep people like him from harming thousands of other people is to eliminate them.

Before this happened, I did not comprehend the magnitude of his evil and of people like him. But to experience the heinousness of what he did to someone as good and as innocent as my brother has totally changed my perspective. I don’t know how to respond in a humane way to such inhumane acts. I don’t think a humane response is necessary.

What the media did to my family is also unforgivable. They made the worst week of my life infinitely worse. Decision-makers in the media need to make more humane decisions about what is a story and how they get it. Someone should have thought of a shocked, astounded and grieving family when they made those decisions. They spoke of their sympathy for us, but not once did they think the sympathetic thing to do would be to stop harassing us and allow us to grieve in peace.

Sara Berg
Virginia Beach, Va.

I'll probably come up with more to blog about today but that kind of puts things in perspective for a while doesn't it?

On The MSMemory Hole Math Of Terror

Let's see. Alan Colmes tonight was apoplectic about how the new Iraqi government was going to toast because of the terrible upsurge in violence: "400 [Iraqi] lives claimed since the new government was formed about two weeks ago, and we keep hearing about increasing insurgency."

Well sure enough, one is too many.

But let's just stoop to do the math shall we?

The libs aren't going to like the rational analysis though so let me provide a starting point. Or two.

And even the wildly lib Amnesty International points out that Saddam had "the world’s worst record for numbers of persons who have disappeared or remain unaccounted for."

And another estimate from AI:

Amnesty International, an organization known for its seriousness and attention to fact, states that, "since the 1980s, hundreds of thousands of people have ''disappeared'' in Iraq, and their fate and whereabouts remain unknown."

So let's just throw out the more complete estimates ranging from 1 - 7 million dead including wars featuring the documented use of WMD -- even on the Kurds. (Oh -- I forgot -- he got better. So it was perfectly fine to give him the benefit of the doubt about not having WMD.)

So let's throttle back and go with the grave site excavations of the disappeared.

OOPS. Sorry for that inconvenient link suggesting 182,000 Kurd disappeared in 1988 alone. D*mn that Google. Sorry.

So against all evidence I will make the wildly conservative estimate Saddam only disappeared 10,000 people a year for 30 or so years.

Now let's do some math. If Alan Colmes "sky is falling" current death rate holds for the whole year in Iraq there will be 400 people / 2 weeks x 52 weeks killed in Iraq.

For all you mathematically illiterate, I can only feel with my head libs that would be 10,400 people.

So at this disastrous rate of carnage it would approximately be no different -- or more likely quite a bit lower -- than Saddam's "disappeared" rate alone. In other words it would take 30 years of this to get into Saddam's league!

And if you include the various Saddam-initiated wars and add it up into the millions like anyone who would actually qualify as a rational human being then in a mere 3-700 years W's "disastrous folly" will catch up to Saddam's 30 year reign.

Actually, I'm quite surprised that the MSM rags are only reporting 3-7% per year circulation declines for their fine work publicizing such obvious conclusions.

I love the integrity and rationality of the MSM.

Can't you tell?

UPDATE: Ah, yes. Good old neo-Bob forgot to mention that I was high on that 3-700 years by a year or maybe two. My deepest apologies. (And the mathematically literate among you know how to characterize this update -- and it wouldn't be in the serious column ;)

Uhm, I think we are able to identify the real fraud after reading this Fisk. And they would be Congress-critters of you-know-what denomination. (HT Michelle.)

QotD

"People may forget what you said. People may forget what you did. But people will never forget how they felt when they were with you."

UPDATE: Yes, believe it or not, that's a quote from Maya Angelou. But you really need to consider this book instead.

Don't be a whiner, Dave...

Glenn has an update on the Church of the Left. Of which, Stanley's latest update is here.

Today's Quote -- And An Update From Bernard Lewis

"Great spirits have always found violent opposition from mediocrities. The latter cannot understand it when a man does not thoughtlessly submit to hereditary prejudices but honestly and courageously uses his intelligence." -- Einstein

The West vs. the Islamists in a nutshell. Though he was probably referring to Hitler of course.

And now the leftists that haven't yet will be consigning Bernard Lewis to the memory hole as he has broken the code of silence about the relationship between Haj Mohammad Amin Al-Husseini, Rashid Ali al-Gailani, and Hitler.

After you've RTWT you need to go brush up on the "Previous Jaw Dropper" over right...

Bernard Lewis? The fascifists will be calling him a fascist in no time, eh?

UPDATE: I forgot to mention Bernard is now in the Classics over right...

UPDATE: Egregious typo rule invoked!

Projection Reprise

Part 2,735,643,463,797. To the 374^th.

And that would be Blogger (sadly still), not MS Word...

That's a third world country to our north, eh?

UPDATE: And we will need the Queen to save them? Brother!