"Given the nature of Prime Minister Olmert's coalition, and the pressure on Olmert from the EU and even the U.S. State Department to accommodate Palestinians, Hamas may well find that its interests are best served by maintaining its image as a force that won't knuckle under to Israeli pressure of the sort Olmert is able to bring to bear. And even if Israel's actions succeed in bringing about Shalit's release, the long term prospects for its redeployment policy are not bright."