Friday, April 25, 2008

Good Luck With That: On Deterring Islamic Revolutionaries

clipped from www.jpost.com

THERE ARE two reasons that a deterrence model will be as ineffective in
curbing Iranian aggression as Obama's appeasement model. First, as last week's
25th anniversary of the Iranian-sponsored bombing of the US embassy in Beirut
recalled, Iran has been attacking the US and its allies both directly and
through proxies since 1979. To date, not only has the US failed to deter such
attacks, it has never made Iran pay a price for them. With this abysmal track
record against a non-nuclear Iran, it is hard to see how the US can threaten a
nuclear-armed Iran with sufficient credibility to make a deterrence-based
strategy successful.

The second reason that basing US policy towards Iran on a deterrence model
will likely fail is because Iran's leadership has made clear that is not
necessarily concerned about the survivability of Iran.

Iran's leadership has made clear that they are not Iranian patriots but global
Islamic revolutionaries.