Wednesday, December 09, 2009

"Adjustments"

clipped from volokh.com

Eschenbach proceeds to set out what an “inhomogeneity” is and show that the GHCN must have done something other than they claimed to have done to make the adjustments they did. In the course of this, he shows some stunning anomalies:

Then I went to look at what happens when the GHCN removes the “in-homogeneities” to “adjust” the data. Of the five raw datasets, the GHCN discards two, likely because they are short and duplicate existing longer records. The three remaining records are first “homogenized” and then averaged to give the “GHCN Adjusted” temperature record for Darwin.

To my great surprise, here’s what I found. To explain the full effect, I am showing this with both datasets starting at the same point (rather than ending at the same point as they are often shown).

darwin_zero7
Figure 7. GHCN homogeneity adjustments to Darwin Airport combined record
YIKES!
And the adjustment that they made was over two degrees per century
darwin_zero8
Yikes again, double yikes!