Saturday, April 19, 2008

The Last Being Dependent

A Marine officer responds by private email to an earlier post examining the question of whether it is propitious to shift the focus in Iraq from the AQI to Iran. He writes:


In your recent post about Petraus shifting the front to Iran, you asked: "First: is MNF-I correct to open this Second Front? Might not the AQI flare up again? Second: how will Iran be tackled? It will depend on three things. The Iraqi Army, the Elections in 2008 and the command plan. Right now those are three variables, the last being dependent."




My take:
Yes -- they are correct. The only remaining fight that is predominantly against Al Qaeda is in Mosul. It seems to be going well judging by its absence in the news.


My only other tidbit is that there are two sets of elections in 2008: Iraq is scheduled to have local and provincial elections in October.
The fact that these are scheduled for October, and the US poll is in November, is most certainly not a coincidence.